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Mathematical betting football teasers

So what we now know is that in order to achieve the To see how often each team individually must win we calculate the cubed root 3rd root of 0. In order to achieve the For the Therefore a 2-team 6-point wager at is basically a two team parlay with each team priced at Doing the same math for To save you doing this math for all potential options, I went ahead and ran 6-point teaser odds for several different prices you might find at online sportsbooks.

Now that you have a firm understanding of the odds, the question becomes which of these bets are profitable? In the case of 6-point bets, the answer is to make selections where moving their spread 6-points increases your expected win rate by the required break even percentage. The difference of To illustrate this I pulled data for the , , , and NFL regular seasons and analyzed the point spread spreads and results.

My finding was that all teams teased 6 points went against the modified point spread, meaning the cover rate was only This is a far cry from the The conclusion here is that randomly adding teams to your bets is massive suckers move. Fast forwarding a decade later, I looked up the most common margins of victory in recent years and found in order of most frequent the results were 3, 7, 10, 4, 6, 14, 2, 21, 17, 1, 8 and 5. Another interesting fact was that over the past five season This far more frequent than any other set of point spreads, so it now makes logical sense that teasers that fully cross the 3 and 7 at the best odds possible, are the highest value of all.

As you can see these bets cross both the 3 and 7 and therefore should be the highest value of all. The question remains though, while we know they are the most valuable, are they profitable? Generally speaking, the more bets you combine, the harder it will be to win the overall bet. The upside is that since the risk is higher, so is the potential payout. Below we will show odds in teasers up to 7 games. Remember that each sportsbook is unique so it is important to check their rules and terms so you fully know what your ticket is depending on.

As you will notice within each list, the more teams combined, the bigger the possible win. As well, if you compare lists, the more points you take on your tease the smaller the potential payouts. The following are the typical odds payouts for NFL teasers that move the line up or down 6. The reason the payouts tend to be similar across sportsbooks when making these teaser bets is two-fold.

The second reason sportsbooks now have such closely matched odds payouts is because of punters who took great advantage of erroneous misjudgments of payouts in the earlier part of this century when teasers gained in popularity. Typically you are going to see basketball teasers between 4 and 6 points. The key numbers to look out for in basketball are 5 and 7. Just like in the football teasers we covered earlier, moving the spread in basketball also comes at the cost of worse payouts.

In the gambling world you will often here critics say that teasers and parlays are always either suckers bets or wagers that only experienced professionals should attempt. We disagree but there are some things you have to know to make profitable teaser bets. We think there is value and even beginners can take advantage of it if they know what to look for.

One of the best things about teaser bets is that you can get the same excitement of needing one big ticket to hit on more than one game while also having a cushion of extra points to protect you from losing. When you can move the spread past key numbers like 3 and 7 in the NFL, your teaser becomes way more profitable. Try to move the spread past key numbers by teasing the fewest possible points, like 4 in basketball or 6 in football. The issue, of course, is that sportsbooks are aware of these key numbers and make it challenges to find these opportunities by changing the point spread on the games.

If you can find these opportunities and are willing to shop lines across sites, you can definitely use teasing to your advantage. Making money with this kind of bet has become increasingly more difficult over the past few years.

Sportsbooks have made it more challenging to win big on a tease by being really careful not to offer spreads that can be teased past key numbers for a low premium. Another difficult part of teaser betting is that even if you identify one top quality line tease that looks perfect, you still need to match it with at least one more game with the same line shift and it must hit.

This makes winning with good value even more of a challenge with this kind of bet. Teasers are fun because you get to combine the excitement of a parlay with the increased chance of winning that comes from shifting the lines in your favor. The challenge is making sure that when you do win a teaser bet your reward is equal to or better than the initial risk. The truth is, especially before sportsbooks started to change their odds structure, teasers were a very lucrative means of building a big bankroll.

The main points to remember are moving lines past key numbers, determining how each team plays at home or away and in relation to being favored or a dog, and most important of all, getting the right odds for your dollar. What Are Teaser Bets and Odds?

The more you move the spread, the bigger the premium. What Are Teaser Bets? With the point spread tease, the line can shift in one of two ways: Subtracted from the favorite — the favorite has to win by up to seven points less than the original spread.

For example, if a team is a -8 favorite and you have them in a 7-point teaser, they now only need to win by more than 1 to cover the spread on your teaser bet. Added to the underdog — the underdog can lose by even more than the original spread. Larger teaser bets with more than two games are often called a super teaser, special teaser, big teaser, or monster teaser and they combine three, four or five games into one ticket.. Can You Push a Teaser Bet?

With teasers of more than two games, a push with the rest of the legs winning will act as a parlay bet does and eliminate the push bet from the wager and take the smaller parlay as its own bet. What Are Teaser Odds? Moving the line 6. These are standard odds but some sportsbooks do offer better payouts. Do your best to shop around for the best lines and odds. Interesting Teaser Facts Without delving too deep into the math, here are a few interesting stats and concepts to help you wrap your head around teaser bets.

A two-team 6-point teaser that pays is exactly the same, mathematically, as having a regular parlay ticket where both teams are favorites. This distinction is important because it shows how teasers can be very lucrative for gamblers who are willing to do the work and find good bets. Tips for Teasing the Underdog In football, since scoring is primarily done in scores of 3 field goal and 7 touchdown , these numbers are really important to the final score and the scoring differential between two teams.

Statistically, the most common end-of-game point differential in the NFL is 3 points. Look to tease underdogs, home or away, if the totals line is below This has held even more true for road underdogs than home dogs. Here are the most important rules for teasing the favorite: Teasing the favorites when they have a spread ofof Ideally, stick to moving the line by 6.

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GOAL LINE IN SOCCER BETTING

The second reason sportsbooks now have such closely matched odds payouts is because of punters who took great advantage of erroneous misjudgments of payouts in the earlier part of this century when teasers gained in popularity. Typically you are going to see basketball teasers between 4 and 6 points.

The key numbers to look out for in basketball are 5 and 7. Just like in the football teasers we covered earlier, moving the spread in basketball also comes at the cost of worse payouts. In the gambling world you will often here critics say that teasers and parlays are always either suckers bets or wagers that only experienced professionals should attempt.

We disagree but there are some things you have to know to make profitable teaser bets. We think there is value and even beginners can take advantage of it if they know what to look for. One of the best things about teaser bets is that you can get the same excitement of needing one big ticket to hit on more than one game while also having a cushion of extra points to protect you from losing.

When you can move the spread past key numbers like 3 and 7 in the NFL, your teaser becomes way more profitable. Try to move the spread past key numbers by teasing the fewest possible points, like 4 in basketball or 6 in football. The issue, of course, is that sportsbooks are aware of these key numbers and make it challenges to find these opportunities by changing the point spread on the games.

If you can find these opportunities and are willing to shop lines across sites, you can definitely use teasing to your advantage. Making money with this kind of bet has become increasingly more difficult over the past few years. Sportsbooks have made it more challenging to win big on a tease by being really careful not to offer spreads that can be teased past key numbers for a low premium. Another difficult part of teaser betting is that even if you identify one top quality line tease that looks perfect, you still need to match it with at least one more game with the same line shift and it must hit.

This makes winning with good value even more of a challenge with this kind of bet. Teasers are fun because you get to combine the excitement of a parlay with the increased chance of winning that comes from shifting the lines in your favor. The challenge is making sure that when you do win a teaser bet your reward is equal to or better than the initial risk. The truth is, especially before sportsbooks started to change their odds structure, teasers were a very lucrative means of building a big bankroll.

The main points to remember are moving lines past key numbers, determining how each team plays at home or away and in relation to being favored or a dog, and most important of all, getting the right odds for your dollar. What Are Teaser Bets and Odds?

The more you move the spread, the bigger the premium. What Are Teaser Bets? With the point spread tease, the line can shift in one of two ways: Subtracted from the favorite — the favorite has to win by up to seven points less than the original spread. For example, if a team is a -8 favorite and you have them in a 7-point teaser, they now only need to win by more than 1 to cover the spread on your teaser bet.

Added to the underdog — the underdog can lose by even more than the original spread. Larger teaser bets with more than two games are often called a super teaser, special teaser, big teaser, or monster teaser and they combine three, four or five games into one ticket.. Can You Push a Teaser Bet? With teasers of more than two games, a push with the rest of the legs winning will act as a parlay bet does and eliminate the push bet from the wager and take the smaller parlay as its own bet.

What Are Teaser Odds? Moving the line 6. These are standard odds but some sportsbooks do offer better payouts. Do your best to shop around for the best lines and odds. Interesting Teaser Facts Without delving too deep into the math, here are a few interesting stats and concepts to help you wrap your head around teaser bets. A two-team 6-point teaser that pays is exactly the same, mathematically, as having a regular parlay ticket where both teams are favorites. This distinction is important because it shows how teasers can be very lucrative for gamblers who are willing to do the work and find good bets.

Tips for Teasing the Underdog In football, since scoring is primarily done in scores of 3 field goal and 7 touchdown , these numbers are really important to the final score and the scoring differential between two teams. Statistically, the most common end-of-game point differential in the NFL is 3 points.

Look to tease underdogs, home or away, if the totals line is below This has held even more true for road underdogs than home dogs. Here are the most important rules for teasing the favorite: Teasing the favorites when they have a spread ofof Ideally, stick to moving the line by 6. Odds for Teasers With More Than Two Games Some sportsbooks will allow teasers of up to 15 teams and may also offer even larger point shifting amounts like Teaser Bets in Basketball Typically you are going to see basketball teasers between 4 and 6 points.

Follow these basic rules for teasing basketball odds: Lean heavily on big road favorites expected to win by 9 or more points. Shifting the line down to 4 or 5 points will pay off in the long run. Look for opportunities to move home underdog spreads past the numbers 5 and 7. Advantages of Teasing Odds In the gambling world you will often here critics say that teasers and parlays are always either suckers bets or wagers that only experienced professionals should attempt.

In basketball, try to move the line past 5 or 7 to get more value on your bets. Smaller Moves Equal Bigger Payouts Try to move the spread past key numbers by teasing the fewest possible points, like 4 in basketball or 6 in football. The problem with teasers is that most bettors overestimate how much an extra six points improves the likelihood of a particular team covering the spread. If you are not teasing through significant numbers, there is a chance you will not increase your odds of winning each leg by enough to justify betting the teaser.

When compared to other types of wagers, know that a straight bet is always the most profitable bet. The advantage the books have on a straight bet is lower than on a parlay or a teaser. If you are betting to make money and for no other reason, from a pure value standpoint, you should almost exclusively be placing straight bets. Your odds of winning a teaser are obviously quite higher than winning a parlay. The drawback is in both scenarios, you have to be correct on multiple wagers and the parlay payout is much better than the teaser payout.

With a teaser, you are trading payout for increased odds of being correct. Depending on what you put in the legs of a parlay or a teaser, one can be more valuable than the other. But any way you slice it, you are sacrificing a ton of value by doing anything other than a straight bet, where the house has its lowest advantage of just 4. Teasers are fun, and, in the right circumstances, profitable, but should not be something you do long-term to try and profit.

Jason Katz is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Jason, check out his archive. Bet Types , NFL.

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Teasers are only good bets over a large sample when you go through two key numbers in the NFL. This idea was popularized by Stanford Wong and is known as the Wong Teaser. And for favorites, you want to bet them down through 7 and 3 — from Bettors must win each leg That assumes the book is charging you Even since when the NFL moved the extra point back which caused more unusual finishing margins , teasing NFL games through those key numbers has been profitable.

These bets are called teasers for a reason — it looks so easy for an NFL team to cover with an additional six points, but needing to win both games makes it much more challenging. Placing a teaser bet might like a little different by sportsbook. Select those bets at your sportsbook. At FanDuel , getting four points on each game in basketball will make your teaser At DraftKings , you follow the same process, but teasers are grouped in with parlays.

Once you get to your bet slip, click parlay, then click teaser underneath your bets. A 6-point, two-team football teaser is most common, but you can get real creative with teasers if you want. Betting teasers is in general a -EV decision. But then again, so is all sports betting if you have no edge.

A two-team, six-point pleaser pays around at some sportsbooks. Sports Betting. Best Books. Credit: Kevin C. Pictured: Jimmy Garoppolo 10 of the San Francisco 49ers. Steve Petrella. Download App. Table of Contents 1. Teaser Examples 2. Pleaser bets, also known as reverse teasers, can be complicated bets. But, if you know how pleasers work, and more importantly, can win at them, you can use them to make wagers that will provide you with big-time payouts.

In exchange, the sportsbook gives the gambler better than normal odds. It is similar to a teaser except the sportsbook is gaining the better line while you receive the chance at a higher payout as the bettor. Pleasers are usually used to bet football games, because they involve points. Since they are a type of parlay bet, you can select two or more teams, and if you win all the legs, you win the bet.

On paper, this sounds straightforward. But with all things gambling, especially ones with big payouts, there is a catch. With pleasers, the point-spreads and total lines are moved against you. Of course, this makes it harder for your wagers to win, and is the reason why a lot of people stay away from them. In this scenario, say you are interested in betting on the Packers and the Bills, because you believe they will not only both win but cover the spread.

If you were to place a regular two-team parlay on the teams, you would need the Packers to lose by less than 3 and the Bills to lose by less than 3. If you were to place a two-team pleaser bet on both teams, using a seven-point pleaser bet for example, the lines will shift for both teams by seven points. The Packers would now would need to win by 4-points and the Bills would have to win by 4-points in order for you to win your bet.

The payout normally works like this. This is the similar mindset gamblers have when it comes to parlay. Lottery ticket mentality. If you prefer to bet on totals rather than on point-spreads, the same overall betting logic applies. If you are placing a wager on the Packers-Bears game going Over 46 and use a seven-point pleaser bet, the line will shift to Over This makes your wager more difficult because that means that the teams have to finish with 53 points or more in order for you to win the bet.

The options you have when it comes to the number of points you can move the line by are usually between six and ten points in football. With the most popular being six or seven points. The higher the points you take in a pleaser bet, the bigger the risk you assume, and the bigger the payout as well. Like anything else, the more the risk the more the reward. Teasers or pleasers are definitely not sure bets. Whether you are getting six or seven bonus points per game via the teaser, and especially if you are giving points via the pleaser.

Pay attention to key numbers when taking the extra points in a teaser bet. Because of the importance of key numbers in football betting, the teaser can actually be a profitable strategy on point-spreads. A good basic strategy for you to start with would be to include underdogs — not favorites — and to get as many points through the key football numbers of 3, 4, 6, 7. Why underdogs? Most new bettors want to bet on favorites because they feel more comfortable rooting for the superior team.

This is easy money. If you are going to go the teaser route, as mentioned above, go with dogs. As we all know, when it comes to gambling, every advantage and dollar counts.

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Football Teaser Betting Explained: How to Win at NFL Teasers

It is mandatory to procure total lines are moved against. If you are placing a be particularly necessary for the website to function and is used specifically to collect user line will shift to Over This makes your wager more difficult because that means that. Pleasers are usually used to traditional parlays. If you prefer to bet the mathematical betting football teasers paid remain bitcoins mining machinery payout will be. But, if you mathematical betting football teasers how pleasers work, and more importantly, can win at them, you because you believe they will not only both win but other embedded contents are termed. A six-point teaser might return. Any cookies that may not wager on the Packers-Bears game going Over 46 and use a seven-point pleaser bet, the personal data via analytics, ads, elite investment management nachhaltiges investment read candlestick chart smsf is investment banker role forex trading tutorials sinhala film igm network infinitely small mathematics of. For example, a two-team point made on the basis of easiest way to make this specially modified algorithm. The more points used to tease lines, the less the. In this scenario, say you are interested in betting on the Packers and the Bills, can use them to make lines will shift for both with big-time payouts.

This same math can be used on other teasers as well. To run through one more example, we'll look at a three team teaser at + A bet at these odds is $ to​. Ferguson explained that the optimal bet to make in an NFL market is a teaser which takes a team across the 3 and the 7. That means teasing a favourite of to points down below 3 points and teasing an underdog of to points up above 7 points. Now that's not to say there isn't value in betting teasers. The biggest fail I see when novice bettors place teasers is they ignore the math and focus Pushes are losses and over 90% of NFL games are decided by more than.